Yes, Twitter isn’t real life, but Beto O’Rourke is still performing poorly in national and early state polls

In response to Texas Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s strong fundraising numbers of news outlets have pointed out that Twitter isn’t real  life, a very accurate observation as its political aspects are basically a cesspool of highly socialized polarization that is reflective of just about no one in the electorate. It’s very true that hard left hipsters in Brooklyn (the left-leaning news media) are not the Democratic primary electorate.

But we do have a way of gauging where most Democrats stand: opinion research.

Here’s a Wisconsin poll conducted after O’Rourke launched his campaign:

beto1

“Twitter’s Insiders Are Skeptical About Beto O’Rourke. Iowans Don’t Seem To Care,” reads a Buzzfeed headline. But O’Rourke has also been regularly included in Iowa polls:

beto2

It’s similar for New Hampshire:

beto3

 

It’s possible that O’Rourke gains traction, things are early. But an objective reading of the race as it stands shows that he’s not in the top 3 candidates. That’s regardless of Twitter snark.

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